The Upshot

The Upshot

@UpshotNYT

Followers239.7K
Following313

Analytical journalism in words and graphics from The New York Times. Our newsletter: https://t.co/DclvAjp9cj

New York, NY
Joined on October 24, 2008
@UpshotNYT Statistics

We looked inside some of the tweets by @UpshotNYT and found useful information for you.

Inside 100 Tweets

Time between tweets:
2 hours
Average replies
12
Average retweets
115
Average likes
362
Tweets with photos
0 / 100
Tweets with videos
0 / 100
Tweets with links
0 / 100

Rankings (sorted by number of followers)

102. in country United States and category Daily News

531. in country United States and category Media

834. in category Daily News

Fun Fact

Only 26% are due to the inclusion of "please RT!" in the tweet.

This is a pretty good write-up of the Montana races & polling (and also acknowledges the weirdness of polling in Montana w/the Green Party candidate on the ballot). Bullock one point behind Daines: https://t.co/jRqne97lJm

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The central theme is clear: the Senate race in Montana is tight. https://t.co/WcBhAgP6lI

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Also possible the race is tightening nationally but not in swing states. As @Nate_Cohn points out, that could be the case if e.g. Biden's ad spending is helping him, or he's doing well among the types of voters who are overrepresented in swing states. https://t.co/Yz4fwJqrDN

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NYT/Siena poll* in Montana shows Daines leading Bullock by 1, 45 to 44, with an asterisk: the poll erroneously lists Green Party candidates. Surprisingly, reinterviews and analysis of their responses suggest Green Party respondents would split evenly. https://t.co/jBxaNgMpq0

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Despite an important flaw, there are still lessons from the poll of Montana. https://t.co/79q9zEHyjX

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A closer look at the results suggests there might be some upside for Mr. Biden among persuadable and low-turnout voters on the issue of filling a Supreme Court vacancy. https://t.co/S1Fyon84Ki

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New evidence suggests the individual mandate was not so essential to the success of the Affordable Care Act after all. https://t.co/H7Q9dYYbqM

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In all three states, Biden's lead on the issue was a few points larger than his overall lead. The same can be said for a Fox national poll released earlier this month, which showed Biden up 7 on the issue and 5 pts against Trump

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Voters who said they weren’t “almost certain” or “very likely” to vote said they thought Biden would be better by an even larger 52-23 margin.

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Across the three states, persuadable voters--those who either weren’t backing a major-party candidate or who said they could still change their mind--said they thought Biden would be better at choosing the next justice by an 18-point margin, 49 percent to 31 percent

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NYT/Siena polls of Arizona, Maine and North Carolina released on Friday showed that Biden led on which candidate voters trusted more to nominate the next Supreme Court Justice: Arizona: Biden 53, Trump 43 NC: Biden 47, Trump 44 Maine: Biden 59, Trump 37 https://t.co/0hao3XSojQ

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There’s a common view that the vacant Supreme Court seat helped Republicans in the 2016 election by motivating religious conservatives who otherwise were not fans of Mr. Trump. https://t.co/2CBvRUyXJR

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Quoted @TimAlberta

A reality that's getting harder to escape: The 2 states Trump World knows have slipped, and may be unrecoverable, are AZ & MI. WI isn't far behind. If Biden flips all 3, and Trump holds everywhere else, it's 269 apiece. Omaha could soon be the center of the political universe.

From a public polling standpoint, Arizona is a little bit more split than Wisconsin. There are still Arizona polls that keep Trump well in the hunt. But the calculation here is absolutely right: if all three away, the Biden path is clear enough https://t.co/YeqhQXQheC

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Quoted @Jmalewitz

Eight Wisconsin metro areas sit on @UpshotNYT's list of where COVID-19 cases are rising fastest. https://t.co/wN7UusHmbc https://t.co/HQDEHtVwAO

Eight Wisconsin metro areas sit on @UpshotNYT's list of where COVID-19 cases are rising fastest. https://t.co/wN7UusHmbc https://t.co/HQDEHtVwAO

Welcome to a tour of the University of Wisconsin system https://t.co/zpmkMHvw4H

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Teachers are trying so hard and doing an incredible job, but especially for young kids, it's impossible to recreate school remotely. And it's impossible for parents to work and teach at once. Some employers recognize this, most don't: https://t.co/Xui4Oj2voj

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Once it became clear that COVID-19 was something we were going to be living with for *at least* a year or so, a lot of the public health advice needed to evolve to recognize that and it never really did, at least in the US. So people are left to figure out a lot on their own.

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When Republicans killed the requirement that everyone had to buy health insurance, many experts thought it a fatal blow to Obamacare. It seems they were wrong. https://t.co/WCpZiOTLF7

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The president has been effective in elevating fears about crime and disorder nationally. But those fears don’t translate into how voters feel about their own communities. https://t.co/mKklwMUeFM

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Read @ReedAbelson on new data showing that private insurers are paying hospitals more than double what Medicare pays. These numbers help explain industry opposition to Medicare expansion plans. https://t.co/4LcraAJpB9

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The other feature of the polling landscape right now is the big gap between PA/AZ and Biden +5 and FL/NC at Biden +2/+1 with nothing in between.

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